Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.547328 4.137851 4.765418 5.478876 6.264332 7.099627 8.051988
2024-10-13 2.789175 3.621513 4.569664 5.716138 7.051282 8.544005 10.325722
2024-10-20 2.192716 3.155900 4.326404 5.821048 7.646235 9.771274 12.400212
2024-10-27 1.682694 2.689353 3.993262 5.745759 7.979343 10.673306 14.108499
2024-11-03 1.383457 2.433387 3.872524 5.892701 8.559179 11.866738 16.184522
2024-11-10 1.135950 2.198385 3.736761 5.985424 9.048706 12.943393 18.131593
2024-11-17 0.885038 1.906163 3.475431 5.868104 9.233340 13.617504 19.573521
2024-11-24 0.680898 1.643609 3.216750 5.717505 9.344139 14.178025 20.864798
2024-12-01 0.541505 1.460533 3.051515 5.677756 9.590181 14.908454 22.378743
2024-12-08 0.423833 1.288404 2.877741 5.602114 9.768509 15.539419 23.763333
2024-12-15 0.375950 1.246763 2.916777 5.854025 10.425184 16.835341 26.056222
2024-12-22 0.310150 1.148454 2.841953 5.913302 10.791924 17.731383 27.821183
2024-12-29 0.280411 1.130547 2.916132 6.227604 11.565094 19.233991 30.468302
2025-01-05 0.245752 1.091234 2.944964 6.466388 12.230840 20.600954 32.958527
2025-01-12 0.203601 1.018309 2.898365 6.570590 12.688818 21.678675 35.067390
2025-01-19 0.154142 0.903712 2.750413 6.483675 12.837755 22.307436 36.556941
2025-01-26 0.129728 0.858407 2.741297 6.641169 13.377570 23.514774 38.875723
2025-02-02 0.105928 0.803965 2.703714 6.740812 13.822317 24.585804 41.012880
2025-02-09 0.075893 0.706219 2.551637 6.612655 13.883816 25.082058 42.333331
2025-02-16 0.051619 0.611705 2.389240 6.448525 13.872930 25.462211 43.485990
2025-02-23 0.036770 0.548682 2.293367 6.405129 14.059900 26.141708 45.077160
2025-03-02 0.024657 0.485184 2.183506 6.322714 14.172563 26.704657 46.501922
2025-03-09 0.021661 0.483421 2.244478 6.596827 14.913623 28.252863 49.392576